Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.056310 0.065737 0.076233 0.088783 0.103382 0.119830 0.139772
2025-10-12 0.042023 0.054422 0.069686 0.089853 0.115803 0.148083 0.191320
2025-10-19 0.033416 0.046858 0.064729 0.090217 0.125639 0.173159 0.241834
2025-10-26 0.028024 0.041951 0.061678 0.091631 0.135975 0.199259 0.296587
2025-11-02 0.024477 0.038771 0.060150 0.094418 0.147990 0.228621 0.359447
2025-11-09 0.020412 0.034010 0.055368 0.091301 0.150280 0.243375 0.401826
2025-11-16 0.017777 0.031016 0.052754 0.090974 0.156548 0.264621 0.456725
2025-11-23 0.015540 0.028295 0.050118 0.090084 0.161516 0.284037 0.510737
2025-11-30 0.014104 0.026723 0.049154 0.091823 0.171048 0.312070 0.582912
2025-12-07 0.012502 0.024595 0.046885 0.090835 0.175429 0.331375 0.641612
2025-12-14 0.010948 0.022324 0.044026 0.088304 0.176492 0.344567 0.690300
2025-12-21 0.009612 0.020280 0.041314 0.085649 0.176880 0.356355 0.737491
2025-12-28 0.008927 0.019483 0.040983 0.087784 0.187243 0.389127 0.831549
2026-01-04 0.008173 0.018436 0.040013 0.088478 0.194758 0.417163 0.919713
2026-01-11 0.007473 0.017403 0.038928 0.088764 0.201410 0.444167 1.009136
2026-01-18 0.006941 0.016667 0.038380 0.090141 0.210595 0.477617 1.116945
2026-01-25 0.006562 0.016231 0.038436 0.092880 0.223184 0.520001 1.250345
2026-02-01 0.005830 0.014847 0.036141 0.089813 0.221859 0.530788 1.311599
2026-02-08 0.005354 0.014023 0.035053 0.089492 0.227030 0.557195 1.413516
2026-02-15 0.004897 0.013180 0.033810 0.088616 0.230708 0.580453 1.510638
2026-02-22 0.004623 0.012776 0.033601 0.090327 0.241112 0.621313 1.657285
2026-03-01 0.004240 0.012029 0.032421 0.089355 0.244448 0.644890 1.762292
2026-03-08 0.003828 0.011139 0.030755 0.086864 0.243432 0.657194 1.839035